Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
MexicoMarket 68.7% | Sportsbook 67.2%
Market Signal: consensusGap +1.5pp
DrawMarket 20.6% | Sportsbook 21.6%
Market Signal: consensusGap -1pp
South AfricaMarket 10.7% | Sportsbook 11.2%
Market Signal: consensusGap -0.5pp
Bet at sportsbook
Platform
Their line
Implied
Link
Sportsbet
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Bet365
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Ladbrokes
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TAB
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Odds history
Where the crowds disagree
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Kalshi
70%
21%
11%
Polymarket
69%
21%
11%
Paper picks
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Thu, Jun 11, 10:00 PM UTC.
Mexico face South Africa at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Mexico at 69% to win, a draw at 21%, and South Africa at 11%. Mexico are the market favorite at 69% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.